Best MLB Home Run Props September 23rd: Tuesday Best HR Betting Picks

We are coming down to the wire with the final Tuesday of the regular season, and there are some great matchups with playoff positions on the line.

But our focus is not on who’s going to win or whether the final will be OVER or UNDER the game’s TOTAL. No, we are here to talk about the best home run props of the day.

After a careful study of the matchups, the following are our best MLB home run props for Tuesday, September 23 (odds via FanDuel).

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles

Dylan Beavers (BAL) at +680

In 78 games at Camden Yards this season, there have been 222 home runs hit. Rays starter Ryan Pepiot has given up 26 home runs this season. He hasn’t given one up since Aug. 11, when he gave up two to the A’s. In his last start vs. the Orioles (July 13), he gave up three (Holliday, O’Hearn, Jackson).

Beavers is a good longshot to take a chance on. He’s hit two home runs in the last week and has the highest OPS at 1.066. With how he’s been hitting for power over the last week — and since the game is in Baltimore at home-run-friendly Camden Yards — he’s worth taking a shot on.

Houston Astros vs. Athletics

Jeremy Peña (HOU) at +500

Sutter Health Park has not been a great one for pitchers this season. It ranks third in the league in most home runs hit with 220, a shade under three per game. A’s starter Jeffrey Springsd has given up 28 home runs this season, including 17 at home.

Peña has hit 17 home runs, including two in his last three games. Over the last week, he has been making contact, hitting .467 in the process. With how well he has been swinging and since he’s playing in a home-run-friendly park against a pitcher that’s been known to surrender dingers, Peña is a solid play.

Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves

Ronald Acuña Jr. (ATL) at +370

Truist Park, the home of the Braves, is not necessarily a home run house like Camden Yards or Dodger Stadium. However, there have been 181 home runs hit there this season — a little over two per game.

Nationals pitcher Brad Lord faced the Braves his last time out, lasting 5 1/3 innings while giving up six hits and allowing two earned runs (but no home runs). But in his limited time vs. the Braves, he has allowed 11 hits (11-for-37) for a .297 batting average.

Ronald Acuña Jr. has gone 2-for-3 vs. Lord and has been killing the ball over the past week, hitting .417 with a 1.278 OPS (two home runs). The combination of a hot bat and history of crushing Lord makes him a strong pick to go deep.